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NAFTA Canada (стр. 2 из 2)

would be the number one supplier, however Mexico is very proud of what they

accomplished. They selected a niche in the American market and acted upon it.

They started supplying smaller refrigerators to offices, businesses and colleges

of dorms. By specializing in this one niche, a small Mexican firm can react

quickly and efficiently to changing tastes, technologies, and trends. Allowing

the firms to stay competitive in a ever growing market.

Surprisingly, with NAFTA in place a lot of niches like the one mentioned

above will open up around North America. The typical Mexican consumer is a lot

different than the Canadian consumer in a lot of respects. In Canada there are

numerous niches based on income levels, taste, and culture. NAFTA will give

firms in Mexico a greater margin of competitiveness than they are already

enjoying.

The fourth element, and arguably the most important one, is the ability

to have a wide choice of technologies. It is for this element that the lessons

learned from Japan come into effect. People often believe that the reason for

Japans great competitiveness is the quality of Japan’s work force, and the

attitude of Japanese management. Although this is all true, what is often

overlooked is that 35 per cent of Japan’s exports are made through production

sharing. In other words, Japan is taking advantage of a wide range of

technologies. The whole concept to this is very simple. If a job is labor-

intensive, a firm should have access to adequate labor. If, on the other hand,

a job is capital-intensive, a firm should have access to capital.

Finally, the fifth condition for competitiveness is to have available a

range of services at a reasonable cost. In a modern economy we have to

recognize the importance of services, like transportation, telecommunications,

and financial services. In a second world country like Mexico, these services

still carry a very high cost, which puts Mexico at a competitive disadvantage.

But NAFTA will have to play a dramatic role in lowering the cost of services

because it achieves the most comprehensive opening of the services market of any

trade agreement. One example of the availability of services as a result of

NAFTA is, that it opens land transportation throughout the entire region. Prior

to the deal if certain cargo had to go from Mexico to Canada, it would have to

travel to the border, then sit there while the cargo was re-loaded onto a

Canadian or American truck, then shipped to Canada. The Mexican merchant who

had to ship the cargo is thus placed at a competitive disadvantage. Now, under

new NAFTA rules, that truck is able to go directly from the Mexican plant,

straight to it’s final destination, thus saving both money and time.

A second example is in the area of telecommunications, such as phones,

faxes, and other information services. This is most definitely becoming more

and more important in the production process of modern society, and NAFTA opens

the North American market in this area as well. This will make industries more

competitive by providing reasonable priced and reliable communications.

A very important issue that is always featured in the NAFTA debate is

the environment. Developed countries like Canada often take for granted, that

environmental protection requires considerable economic resources. A Princeton

University study confirmed that, “When a country is very poor, there is no

pollution because there is no industry. As a country’s industry grows and it’s

per capita income begins to rise, environmental degradation comes into effect.”

True, this has been the recent history in Mexico, However, a country ultimately

reaches the turning point, where it has grown to the level where it has the

resources to devote to environmental protection. As well, the agreement itself

contains many environmental provisions. It is often called the “Greenest”

multilateral trade agreement ever negotiated. NAFTA specifically prohibits any

of the three countries involved from loosening environmental rules in order to

attract new investments.

*** Mexico’s Disadvantages:

“NAFTA will simply compound the ills created by the administrations

policy of monopolistic free trade.” In the short run the U.S. and Canada would

hardly feel any effect, while Mexico would face great disruptions as a result of

opening its borders. This is because of the small size of the Mexican economy

would barely create a crease in the economies of its northern neighbours. The

problem is that unemployment may soar in Mexico because of the large inflow of

manufacturers from its new trading partners. Indeed, Mexico’s economy could

collapse. In fact, in the last two years the number of unemployed in Mexico has

increased by more than 1.1 million, while salaries have lost more than 41.6% of

their dollar value. In 1993, 8.5% of the economically active population of

Mexico earned less than the minimum salary; today 11.9 percent find themselves

in the very same position.

Much like East Germany, Mexico suffers from “backward technology and

inefficient, bloated state monopolies. The trauma of exposure to giant northern

firms could be fatal to Mexican manufacturing.” NAFTA proposes to open Mexican

markets to Canada and the U.S. gradually, thus constraining the “foreign

onslaught,” however, the short run suffering that Mexico would endure would be

massive. Especially since Mexico which has been buried in a deep slump since

1982, will not, unlike East Germany, receive huge financial aid.

The biggest disadvantage incurred on Mexico as a direct result of the

deal is the amount of money and capitol needed to be spent on up grading their

telecommunications, equipment in the workplace, as well as their transportation

routes. This needs to be do done in order to become competitive in the North

American Market. This however, may not be viewed upon as a benefit, fore it is

going to increase it’s productivity in the global market. What ever short term

disadvantages are induce due to the deal, will eventually be nullified over the

long run.

***

Mexico’s role in the North American Free Trade Agreement, looks to be a

great step in their country’s potentially great future. For Mexico to stay with

NAFTA they have to continue the dramatic turnaround their country has

experienced in the past decade. The economy in Mexico is growing faster than

their population, and with NAFTA they could only expect better things to come

their way. Inflation is under control, foreign debt has been reduced, more than

1,000 state owned industries have been privatized. Mexico is finally showing a

fiscal surplus for the first time in a quarter of a century. With NAFTA it will

help Mexico consolidate these economic reforms, secure the confidence of the

world’s investors and allow Mexico’s economic turnaround to continue for many

more years.

Economic integration initiatives like NAFTA offer positive benefits to

Canada and to other trade partners. They promote efficiency of scale, eliminate

expensive and time consuming trade restrictions between nations, and discourage

government intervention. “NAFTA in particular is in tune with the twin

imperatives of globalization and global development. It embodies the historical

logic of earlier movements toward Canada/U.S. economic alliances.” True, the

deal is not perfect, but to retreat from it now would be a step backwards.

In conclusion, we feel that when all the pros and cons have been weighed,

and all has been said and done, NAFTA will eventually become a positive step in

North America’s future.